Prop. 14 is bad news for third parties and the Republican Party

“Top Two” elections will make monkeys of us all!

What effects will Prop. 14 have on our electoral politics here in California?  The “Top Two” measure passes easily.  Starting in 2011, the top two vote-getters in the primary elections will advance to the general, irrespective of their party affiliation.

That sounds like bad news for third party candidates.

Let’s take a look at one race in particular, that just concluded this past Tuesday.  Over in the 70th Assembly District, which includes the Cities of Tustin and Irvine and part of Newport Beach, the top two vote getters would be Don Wagner and Melissa Fox.  One is a very conservative Republican.  The other is a doctrinaire liberal Democrat. 

But lost in the mix would be Libertarian candidate Debbie Tharp, who only got 250 votes.  She would be absent from the general election ballot, under the “Top Two” election rules.

Do we need Tharp on the ballot in November?  Yes!  many voters may reject Wagner’s social awkwardness and Fox’s tax-raising schemes.  Their only other choice would be Tharp!

The Republicans are threatening to go to a caucus system, which means that the Jerbals and Fleischmans would run wild.  No bueno.  If anything, that would hasten the end of the GOP in California.

In a caucus system, Jerry Amante would likely win the 70th A.D. GOP primary.  But in reality he was not popular with the voters at large.  His support came entirely from the OC GOP machine.  He had zero grassroots support.

The Democrats should weather this storm, at least until we undo the gerrymandering of our legislative districts.

I have a feeling that this new system will discourage even more people from voting.

About Art Pedroza