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(Ed Royce and Wife Marie)
Anyone want to run for Congress?
Longtime Congressman Ed Royce will retire at the end of his current term in 2018. This announcement follows his wife accepting a role at the state department as well as a controversial taxation vote last month.
Read more at the Orange County Register.
Who will emerge from the GOP ranks to compete in a heavily contested primary is anyone’s guess– but what’s certain is that this mid-term election will be exciting.
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VERN: The distinguished COOK Report has just marked this already competitive seat to “LEANS DEM.” WHO WILL IT BE?
This guy has been representing the RICH, in particular WALL STREET, in Congress since 1993. We already thought he was a pretty vulnerable candidate in this anti-Trump year. Now the incumbent is gone. Will they try to install Young Kim? (First thought.) That would mean her leaving her Supervisor race. Who’d pick up the GOP banner there? So many pieces just went a-flying. Let me see who-all Dems have gone (unsuccessfully) against Royce in recent years…
Beat me by one minute. Well, you are Mr. Breaking News!
It won’t be a Dem. Unless Trump sinks the whole ship.
Watch Republicans decide that they really didn’t want to go for that other job anyway.
Yow! Just came here to post the same.
Can Dana be far behind? And Issa? (Mimi won’t go.)
Watch for at least two Republicans running — and, unless we Dems wise up and thin out the herd, facing one another in the runoff.
I predict: Young Kim (Royce’s second fiddle) to go for this seat and Tim Shaw (Huff’s third fiddle) to take Kim’s place in the supe race while Ling Ling (Huff’s second fiddle) continues to try to retrieve Josh’s senate seat.
Ah reasonable predictions.
But you forgot about Fullerton.
As I recall, Bruce Whittaker wat to run in the recall race, correct? I have a feeling that with the DemGlut in CA-39, he’ll find that it makes more sense to run for Congress.
It’s Whitaker.
He’s my bud, but he’s somewhat lazy as even his best friends say, and he doesn’t have the money to run for Congress or the support from the GOP – too much of a maverick!
The problem for Whitaker is that wherever he goes he’s going to find another establishment Reep there before him, so the question is where can he get into a runoff where he can conceivably pick off Dem votes to win?
The recall is a terrible choice for him because at the end of the day there will be several Reeps wanting to get into that coveted seat, but only one Dem will run. (It will be the first and only time that we’ll show party discipline.) So Dems will likely hold the seat regardless.
Supe is the best choice — it has a runoff if no one gets 50%, as seems likely — but I don’t see him running against Tim Shaw. Maybe I’m just out of the loop there regarding affiliations..
So that leaves Congress, where if we still have 104 Dems in the race two Reeps will make the runoff. (If there are three or more, only one will likely go forward.)
Then again, Ryan just mentioned that you forgot Fullerton, which I thought was a reference to Whittaker. The bigger threat to run and win is that blonde Pringle thrall on Council. (Her name has temporarily been lost to me in the stroke, so please let me enjoy her absence from my universe for a while and don’t mention it here; let’s just refer to her as “The Thrall.”)
Jennifer Fitzgerald is the name you forget, I wish I could.
DAMN YOU! [shakes fist]
Well, with any luck I’ll forget it again in a few minutes….
Think Pringle. Or maybe someone could dig up Jimmy Stewart.
Soon I’ll put up an Orange Juice Fondly Remembering Ed Royce post, and I’ll be wanting the help of Ryan, Bushala et al. I’m glad we still have this chickenhawk image of him from ten years ago, when the 1951-born Vietnam-war avoider was a huge supporter of Bush’s unnecessary and illegal wars while, typically, not voting for the services returning veterans needed… (Royce on right; Rohrabacher diminutive in front; also pictured Gary Miller and John Campbell)
*The solution to the Fullerton problem? Josh Newman, Bruce Whitaker, Mamie Van Doren, Sofia Loren and Gina Lollabrigida……. Beauty Contests? What an El Joke-O!
Shawn Nelson? Monty Python? Eric Prince? Old Time Vaudeville? Good Grief…..they
can’t even find one good Joe Dunn look-a-like in Fullerton to replace Ed Royce?
*As W.C. Fields always said: “All things being equal….I’s rather be in Philadelphia!” Or a Will Rogers said: “Everyihing I know, I learn from the Newspapers!”
Scott Lay lists the following GOP possibilities today (remembering that residency is not a requirement for Congress):
Scott Baugh is a former state assemblyman and former chair of the Orange County Republican Party. He lives in Huntington Beach, but district residency is not required for the U.S. House of Representatives. He’s been raising money in the event Dana Rohrabacher doesn’t run for re-election and had $545,403 on hand as of September 30.
Ling-Ling Chang is a former state assemblywoman from Fullerton in AD55 who is currently a candidate in the recall election of Democratic Senator Josh Newman (D-SD29), which is expected to be on June 5.
Phillip Chen is a first-term assemblyman representing the eastern part of CA39. He came to the Assembly as a board member of the Walnut Valley Unified School District, a former aide to LA supervisor Michael Antonovich, and a reserve sheriff’s deputy.
Bob Huff is a former state assemblymember and senator from Diamond Bar and served as the Senate Republican Leader before being termed-out and was then succeeded by Ling-Ling Chang.
Young Kim is a former state assemblywoman from Fullerton in AD65 and a longtime aide to Congressman Royce. She is currently running for the Fourth District on the Orange County Board of Supervisors in the June 5 election.
Shawn Nelson is a ending his time as a member of the Orange County Board of Supervisors (Young Kim is running for his seat) and is a former Fullerton City Councilmember.
Janet Nguyen is a state senator from Fountain Valley who has served as a county supervisor and previously served on the Garden Grove City Council. Like Baugh, she lives out of CA39.
Tim Shaw is mayor of La Habra and a former district director for Senator Bob Huff, policy advisor for then-supervisor Janet Nguyen, and policy assistant to Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger. He is currently government affairs director for the Pacific West Association of Realtors and is an adjunct professor at Rio Hondo College.
more here http://www.aroundthecapitol.com/nooner/2018-01-09.html
Pringle.
You mean, literally?
The man himself?
But he LOVES what he’s been able to do outside of office these 7 years, with no scrutiny…
Has always wanted to go to Washington, so I’ve heard. Plus his future in OC as an influence peddler looks a little shaky.
No scrutiny? There’s been plenty of scrutiny, just no ability to do anything about the Anaheim fire sale.
Oh hell no.
On the bright side, I don’t think he even lives in the district and I don’t think the GOP apparatchiks would help out. Still, you never know.
Wordsmith will let us know.
But imagine the beautiful humiliation if he ran and lost. It might spell the end of his era.
*Yeah, we will go with Kurt Pringle….our choice..
Thank you for spelling that the FFFF/siegheil way!
Young Kim and ex Royce both just announced that Royce is endorsing Kim for his seat via their campaign spokesman Dave Gilliard
You mean LYING Dave Gilliard.
This means the Pugs need a new District 4 Supe candidate.
I’ve gone with “Dishonest Dave,” because I like alliteration.
http://www.latimes.com/politics/essential/la-pol-ca-essential-politics-updates-rep-ed-royce-endorses-former-gop-1515550155-htmlstory.html
Well. That’s done then.
Tim Shaw, Vern. This is pretty fantastic news for him.
Young Kim will likely make the Top Two; the question is whether the Republicans will play it safe or try to take the second slot. My guess (without knowing his current status) is that Bob Huff will run — what else is he going to do with his time? — and take on the Royce machine. Royce could retaliate by running someone against Huff’s guy Tim Shaw for Supe 4, but I don’t think that Huff likely cares enough for a threat against Shaw to make him stay his hand, which means that Royce may not bother. The real questions are whether a candidate like Pringle’s Fullerton Thrall (still not going to use her name!) may run for either the 39th or the 4th; and whether the new generation of leaders in the area (such as Placentia’s Chad Wanke (the “W” is pronounced as a “V”), Brea’s Cecilia Hupp, or (in the 39th, as they live in the 3rd Supe) Yorba Linda’s Peggy Huang or (gulp!) even Kris Murray in Anaheim Hills might decide not to let an earlier generation of outgoing leaders will major posts within their area to their designated heirs. (I’m discounting Art Brown of Buena Park solely because I don’t think he wants to go to DC and I think he’d be satisfied with Joe Kerr in 4th Supe.)
The more I look at this, the worse CA-39 looks for Democrats. We’d likely have been better off running against Royce!
*Dr. D., the realities are always so boring. Good Grief, do we have to recycle the waste from the Titanic at every election cycle in “The OC”? Mom said it best: “Something NEW called STEW!” No rising stars in Community Activism out there? Heck, even DZ is starting to look like a viable candidate….
“Heck, even DZ is starting to look like a viable candidate….”
Aw, Hell. Okay, I’m in!
Is there some rivalry between Huff (& clique) and Royce (& clique) that I was unaware of?
Yes, if you were indeed unaware of it.
Sean Nelson is in.
Does anyone really like Shawn any more? If there’s already an anointed GOP candidate? I wouldn’t think so.
Huff is in.
http://lapost.us/?p=5219
From that link:
“He and his wife Mei-Mei have been married for 18 years and currently own Huff Strategies, a consulting firm in Diamond Bar with expertise in transportation, education, water, agriculture and general government.”
So the psychology major from Westmont College is an “expert” in all that stuff? Nooooo. He’s an expert at trying to lobby for people who want influence peddled in their direction.
Our workload here for this year has just expanded significantly.
Good thing NOBODY around here has a job!
Yes, it’s true (even if you’re exaggerating): real unemployment in Orange County, as in the rest of the Southland, does remain too high — especially among vulnerable youth and minority communities. I presume that that’s what you’re talking about. Don’t worry, though — Ed Royce will probably land on his feet. In fact, probably with them crushing someone’s throat!
Like Pringle, he has a special interest in making money off money-making charter schools.
What’s stopping Chris norby from jumping in? Now that would be fun to watch
I’m certainly not stopping him: I’d welcome him into either race. (Does County Supervisor just have a consecutive-term limit or is it a lifetime term limit?)
Two terms and youre done
No, two terms and you have to take a break. Think Spitzer. And of course everyone believes the Wicked Witch of Westminster will be back sooner or later.
If you’re talking Janet, isn’t she GG? I would expect her to go back to BOS only if Congress doesn’t work out for her.
*Here is one for you: Diane Harkey to run for Shawn’s seat on the BOS? She could win that ….going away.
She doesn’t live here. And it might be too late to move and be eligible legally. (It’s already too late to do so politically.)
And no, I’m not one bit sure that she’d win at all, let along “going away.”
*But, the Winships LIKE her! For no reason at all.
My recollection is that she answers their emails.
Constituent service for the win!
*Hey, Diane invited us to the phone seminar on the implications of Federal Tax changes to CA back in July or August of last year. Inviting comments, which of course she dodgeballed….but….you have to admit…..she was open to HEARING the questions. It was thought provoking and brought about the thought that without our International Trade Agreements being finalized, no one will ever know which Global Companies are going to win, lose or be left out. 2ndly, that by reducing the Mortgage Tax Deduction from $1 million ot $500,000……foreign investment in Commercial and Residential Real Estate is going to fall greatly. The biggies of course were that by dusting our State Tax write offs (reduced to $10,000 a year NOW – big Republican Compromise?) and taking away the personal exemptions…$7200 each…. and …..and
well – of course taking away the business and sub-contractor expenses is really going to kill small business……eh? So, in answer to Chairman Vern – we must say….Diane lets us know….at least. What we do with that info of course is up to all of us.