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1. Most Ironical — Now Harley Rouda Hates Insiders
My position on CA-48 has been that I don’t think much of either Harley Rouda or Hans Keirstead, the two frontrunners. I’d support either over Dana Rohrabacher (or another Republican such as Scott Baugh, if Dana actually does explode into ABC molecules (of anger, borscht, and cannabis) prior to the primary), but I’d prefer any of Omar Siddiqui, Laura Oatman, or Rachel Payne to either of them. Then Keirstead stomped Rouda among CDP delegates and a few other eligible voters in the recent pre-endorsement conference. Rouda — who has heretofore retained the expensive and loud insider PR firm of Jacobson Zilber, whose signature move is EMAIL HEADERS IN ALL-CAPS, because everybody loves that — has now suddenly come out as an anti-establishment figure. Who knew? Here’s his email:
The 2018 elections are our opportunity to change course in America and California. To elect people with broad popular appeal who will get our country back on track.
This is especially true in the 48th Congressional District, where Dana Rohrabacher has shown he is out-of-touch with Orange County families.
What we don’t need? Thirty-nine party insiders dictating our Democratic nominees.
Here’s the story: later this month, Democratic party insiders will be gathering in backrooms in San Diego – miles outside our district – to cut deals with other insiders and trade endorsements in key races.
It is a rigged process, with widespread corruption. These endorsements are by party elites and for party elites. And they shut out the voice of grassroots activists who are key to taking our country back.
This upcoming election should be an opportunity to reaffirm our commitment to letting the people decide the future of our state and country. All of the people.
Tell the 39 Super Delegates to the California Democratic Party to vote “No Endorsement” in the 48th Congressional District Primary. [Killed a link to harleyforcongress.com.]
Harley
If one of the three people I said I liked had made this pitch, it would make some sense — but it would still be badly misinformed. The CDP delegates who come from the DPOC — and note that I’m one of them — may to some extent be described as “party elites.” The ones who were elected at Assembly District Caucuses are, by and large not — in fact, one of the big stories from a year ago was about how thoroughly Bernie Sanders delegates had swept most of the seats. The “party elites” are electeds, some major funders and central committee and club leaders, and outside groups such as the “New Democrats” who are trying to push for moderate business-friendly Democratic nominees wherever possible. And that group has been pushing both Harley and Hans.
In the interest of reaching some closure and avoiding a Top-Two two-Republican runoff, I dipped a foot into the water of supporting Hans Keirstead on Monday, largely because I thought he was being unfairly maligned by some of my friends who misinterpreted a fairly benign statement he had made about immigration as one marking him as a neo-Nazi. This built my sympathy for him. Then, on Tuesday, word came out that he and his Political Director, Anita Narayana, had been spotted meeting in public with bat-guano wacky hell-demon Lenore Albert-Sheridan, the one who ran for CDP Chair last year to help the campaign of Eric Bauman — who so far as I can tell has since his victory unceremoniously dumped her — and who now has been going on out-of-order harangues at DPOC meetings against me and Chair Fran Sdao. On learning that, I pulled my foot out of the “Hans is OK with me” water so quickly that my ankle retracted into my knee. (I wonder how Fran will react.) So, Harley and Hans, here’s half a loaf for you both: you’re each right about opposing the other.
2. Fund Time with Farrah
I really dislike Irvine politics, which for years dominated the DPOC, even if you factor out the looming umbral presence of Chumley. One of the figures who is wonderful — too wonderful, I thought at the beginning of the 2016 campaign season, ever to win there — is Farrah Khan, who is now one of the Vice-Chairs of DPOC in addition to running a business, an interfaith non-profit, and enough more to cross one’s eyes. Then she came out as one of (maybe the?) early leaders in fundraising, and it took a lot — including unwillingness of Melissa Fox to endorse her, I suppose for fear of her outpolling her for the final open seat, which is a mistake I hope won’t be repeated — to keep her from winning. Well, initial fundraising numbers for the fall election are out once again and, as her email shows, Farrah’s position is if anything more impressive:
Seriously: whoever else you give to this year, consider sparing some money for the judicious, congenial, honest, and hardworking Farrah Khan. Among other things she’s smart enough to figure out why Lynne Schott has exactly $6 in cash on hand — and what it might be for.
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I was having trouble figuring out how to illustrate this one, as I didn’t want to single out any one candidate, and then I realized that Jacobson Zilber appears in this piece twice, so I did an image search on them, and this was the first thing that came up. Irresistible! THAT’S JACOBSON, BY THE WAY, HAPPY TO BE ON FOX NEWS CHANNEL!!!
3. CA-39’s Dueling Deci-Billionaires Both Announce TV Ads
Andy Thorburn employs Jacobson Zilber, discussed above, who announced: ANDY THORBURN RELEASES NEW VIDEO AD “JAILED” IN CA-39 BID. As a teacher, Thorburn was jailed as part of a protest for a good cause. Yes, it speaks well to his character, but I’ve been hearing people ask “how many years ago was that now?” I like Thorburn and think that he does have good character, but he may be overestimating how long he can dine out on that act.
I don’t know who handles Gil Cisneros’s account, but they went with:
The 60 Second Ad Highlights Cisneros’s Advocacy Work And Refusal To Take Corporate PAC Money
Fullerton, Calif. – Today, former Lieutenant Commander Gil Cisneros who is running for Congress in California’s 39th District, launched the first television ad of the cycle. The announcement of the ad, comes on the heels of Cisneros announcing his ninth Congressional endorsement, and the grand opening of his field office in January.
TO VIEW THE AD, TITLED, “NO LIMIT” ….
Cisneros doesn’t need to take corporate money because he won a huge $300 million-plus lottery — and, while he has undeniably done good things with his winnings, including helping Latino youth get into college, the main focus of his efforts have been in Pico Rivera, which raises the question “hey, if you were going to carpetbag anyway, why not do so in Pico Rivera, rather than in a district that is not especially Latino in composition and far less so in vote share?”
Cisneros could probably bury incumbent Republican Philip Chen in AD-55 — if he were willing to serve in the Assembly, become a leader of the party, and parlay that into a seat in Congress once he had become a more polished politician. When you’re a deci-billionaire thrice over and the only Spanish-surnamed candidate in the race, getting endorsements from Latino Congressmembers is no shocker. (I’m not trying to be a downer, but people are going to figure that out.) Right now, the only question is whether he’s going to go negative on his Democratic rivals, as at least five current Republican candidates are hoping that he will. I suppose that someone with his wealth will always be welcome in the district, and least in face-to-face interactions, but if he goes negative I expect him to get a lot of notes suggesting that he come no closer than Pico Rivera.
The entry of Brea Councilman Steve Vargas into the race — a local Latino whose name people know, is going to take away part of Gil’s advantage. Then again, it’s Steve Vargas, who will have to hope that that people remember nothing about him other than his name.
Jay Chen celebrated a positive article by Martin Wisckol and Sam Jammal celebrated the endorsement of the Tri-Valley Democratic Club, which has never failed to pick the winning candidate in this race, given that there’s never been competition for the honor before this year.
Actually the Rohrabacher endorsement was three weeks ago. The news “on the red side of the street” is that there are now SEVEN Republicans running against SEVEN Democrats in CD-39, making it a much safer bet that we’ll have D vs R making it through June.
https://ocpolitical.com/2018/01/31/breaking-news-brea-councilman-steve-vargas-enters-cd-39-race/
I thought I’d already seen it! Well, it just hit my inbox again the day I said it did. Now he’s touting an endorsement from Curt Hagman. I tend to think that he’s leading the GOP pack right now. He’s not my guy, but that’s still a relief. One can reason with him.
Shawn? I liked him a lot better before he got into office.
You learn a lot about people when they get their hands on a little power. And sometimes you think you should have seen it coming.
My question is: do I like him better than Bob Huff or Young Kim or Steve Vargas, and the answers are yes. The cop from La Mirada seemed relatively rational at the LWV panel, too. I’d prefer to see a D-on-D runoff, and don’t want to see an R-on-R runoff, but so long as its an R vs. D runoff Nelson disturbs me much less than the other R options. That’s all I’m saying.
*As the lady said: “Concentrate…concentrate…consentrate!” We don’t need SEVEN Candidates to beat Dana! We need two or three. The Dems better get their act together here. Does anyone remember the Gray Davis Recall? Anyone? We had twenty-two candidates for Governor. One being a porn star named Mary Carey and of course Carlos Bustamante! Did we mention Arnold “The Schwarzenegger”? OK, get the point yet people? Unless of course you can name from memory all 22 Candidates! That would be very impressive.
(Correction: Tri COUNTIES Democratic Club did NOT endorse any CA-39 candidate because none exceeded the voting threshold required for their endorsement.)
In the article at https://www.ocregister.com/2018/02/05/jay-chen-surges-in-democratic-congressional-field/ , the most surprising news is a Republican campaign consultant can agree with a Democrat Assemblywoman on dual endorsements! Why did Cisneros get these semi-endorsements (especially from the Democrat)?
Tri COUNTIES Democratic Club endorsed only the following candidates:
Governor: John Chiang
Lt Governor: Ed Hernandez
Attorney General: Xavier Becerra
Insurance Commissioner:Ricardo Lara
Treasurer: Fiona Ma
Sigh. At least they got the top and bottom ones right, and the top one had two decent answers.
P.S. — seriously, you should write for us.
(Corrected noted in my comment above.)
Greg, you commented “Sam Jammal can make a decent case for not having carpetbagged into this race.” But last year, he resided in a city neighboring our district before moving into our district like other Dem candidates except Jay Chen and Phil Janowicz. Since almost all of the Republican candidates have resided in our district before the last election, they’ll be making a comparative case against carpetbaggers.
Judging how well of a comparative case they will be able to make against carpetbaggers is Zenger’s department, not mine. It’s true that, in this regard, of the major Democratic candidates Jay and Phil are the safest bets. But again: unlike Supervisor, carpetbagging here is legal so long as one lives in the state.
Carpetbagging isn’t illegal anywhere – so long as the minimum requirements of residency are met.
Legality isn’t the point – until one of the jackanapes like Linda Ackerman or Joe Kerr pretends to be living in somebody’s basement or rumpus room; or Harry Sidhu pretends to live in a run-down apartment next to a bowling alley; or Lorri Galloway pretends to be living in a commercial space where residential use is against the zoning ordinance.
Why this deception is embraced by the political chattering class remains a mystery to me.
The carpetbagging issue is ethical to some of us: politicians with overweening ambition using the back of the electorate to shimmy themselves up the greasy pole.
Right, Zenger — and as you note sometimes the minimum requirements of residency are not met, in which event legality is the larger of the two main points. Hence my comment.
Cynthia — we didn’t give him his department. His appointment came from elsewhere, and the department is “pithy sign concept development,” so far as I can tell. He has an uncanny ability to predict what signs will appear all over.
Frankly, I don’t think that moving to run for election before a specific electorate is an ethical issue in a system that artificially requires it. I think that people should be able to choose where they want to run whether or not they live there — and it should be up to the voters in a district to decide whether they care more about “competence, character, and ideology” or “how long someone has lived there.” To me, the obvious choice is the former, and I find focusing on the latter a way of oversimplifying political decisions to make them easier rather than better.
But then I’ve lived in over a dozen states over the past three decades, rather than in the same hometown, and maybe that’s what makes the difference.
Now that’s a Grade A load of bullshit.
And yours is Grade D.
Conclusory arguments aren’t arguments.
You guys gave Zenger his own department? Clearly, someone in charge of departments was bought off, possibly with gifts of brilliant Plein air landscape paintings by a talented master.
(My answer somehow ended up above your question. See above.)