8:05 PM – OC has its first results (but remember SOME of this district is in LA county… and probably more Democratic… although that really looks like a small portion of a huge district.
The most important question tonight is, will Tony break 50% tonight, and right now he’s just barely failing!
Pretty damn CLOSE to 50% though… but if past is prologue, these early votes are the MOST Republican, so don’t be surprised to see Tony falter, choke, sweat profusely, slow down to a quick walk, while the worthy and stalwart Jimmy Pham starts the long process of gaining on him.
Back at 9:30, OR as soon as LA and/or Sacramento get their act together – remember, they don’t have the estimable Bob Page at the helm!
8:29 LA results are in and as expected Strickland is ahead but not by as much as in OC. That is Artesia, Cerritos and Hawaiian Gardens. THERE, Tony’s at only 39%, JULIE DIEP (!) in second at 26.1%, Jimmy at 25.35%. So the two Dems added together much higher than Tony… but of course this is just LA. Lemme do the math because the sluggards in Sacramento still haven’t.
OK. Taking LA into account, Tony has 49.26% altogether. (And the two Viet Dems added together have 43%. How will Briscoe voters vote in April, who knows? Who are they? But John has 7.6%.)
9:30 pm
Oooh! This is close – this is exactly what Tony needs to finish the race tonight. But 1) it won’t stay here and 2) especially not when we factor in LA. Here’s OC at 9:30:
Sacramento is snoozing, LA is laying about, but Bob Page’s OC registrar promises another update at 10pm, so I’ll stay up to get that to you.
OK meanwhile they woke up in Sacramento and did the math so I don’t have to: between both counties Tony is now at 49.5%:
10pm
Uh-oh!
That was OC. And here’s everything, as of now, from the State. LA apparently is only making a difference of minus half a percent in Tony’s numbers. If a lot of late votes over the next few days don’t come in Democrat, Tony’s got this.
Good night! We’ll take this up again in the morning…..
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